Runaway
Glacier May Portend Rising Seas
- By Robert Roy Britt,
LiveScience Senior Writer
- posted: 09/12/2004 - Updated Feb 2005
Melting
Ice Sheet is an 'Awakened Giant' in Antarctica:
The vast West Antarctic ice sheet, once thought
to be stable, could be crumbling. "Satellite measurements
tell us that a significant part of the West Antarctic
ice sheet in this area is thinning fast enough to
make a significant contribution to sea level rise",
said Chris Rapley, director of the British Antarctic
Survey.
"I would say that this is now an awakened giant.
There is real cause for concern." Ice shelves that
act as dams to glaciers have collapsed in recent
years, allowing the glaciers to move toward the
sea more rapidly and also grow thinner. Scientists
have attributed the melting to a warming climate.
The largest glacier in Greenland doubled its forward
progress toward the sea between 1997 and 2003, a
new study found. The alarming acceleration coincides
with a rapid thinning of the colossal structure,
adding water to a rising sea at a faster
pace than scientific models have been predicting.
The
extra water in the ocean is a drop in the global
bucket, but cause for concern nonetheless. Jakobshavn
Isbrae, as it is known, is not the only glacier
that's slipping away. Scientists say a warming
climate is causing ancient glaciers to retreat
suddenly on both the top and the bottom of the
world.
Glacial
shifts
Glaciers
are like giant, slow-moving ice rivers that can
be millions of years old. They advance and retreat
with climate change. Glacial shifts usually occur
at, well, a glacial pace -- over centuries or
millennia. But scientists are now watching that
scope of change occur in a matter of years.
The front edge of the Jakobshavn glacier has been
retreating, overall, since at least 1850. Starting
in late 2000, its inexorable flow toward the sea
sped up.
The
glacier moved forward at about 3.54 miles (5700
meters) each year between 1992 and 1997.
At one point in 2003 its pace was 7.83 miles (12,600
meters) per year. Suddenly, it nearly doubled
the amount of ice it discharges into the sea,
researchers say.
The glacier has thinned rapidly of late, too,
losing roughly 49 feet (15 meters) of its vertical
thickness every year since 1997.
All this suggests glaciers are not as stable as
once thought. And that,
scientists say, could portend more rapid depletion
of global ice stores than has been noted so far.
Dramatic
change
"In
many climate models glaciers are treated as responding
slowly to climate change," said Ian Joughin,
a glaciologist at the Applied Physics Laboratory
at the University of Washington. "In this
study we are seeing a doubling of output beyond
what most models would predict. The ice sheets
can respond rather dramatically and quickly to
climate changes."
As
more ice moves from glaciers on land into the
ocean, it raises sea levels.
And since Jakobshavn Isbrae is a whopper -- it
is Greenland's largest outlet glacier, draining
6.5 percent of that continent's ice sheet area
-- the changes have increased the rate of sea
level rise by about .002 inches (.06 millimeters)
per year, or roughly 4 percent of the 20th Century
rate of sea level increase, according to the new
study.
"This
finding suggests the potential for more substantial
thinning in other glaciers in Greenland,"
added Waleed Abdalati, a scientist at NASA's Goddard
Space Flight Center who also worked on the investigation.
"Other glaciers have thinned by over a meter
[3 feet] a year, which we believe is too much
to be attributed to melting alone. We think there
is a dynamic effect in which the glaciers are
accelerating due to warming."
Elsewhere
...
A pair of separate studies, released in September,
showed one mechanism by which melting can accelerate
rapidly:
The breakup
of an Antarctic ice shelf had a snowball effect
on the depletion of glaciers it once abutted.
In that work, scientists monitored the Larsen
B ice shelf, which broke free of the Antarctic
Peninsula in 2002. After the breakup, scientists
watched nearby glaciers flow into the sea several
times faster than before. They say the ice shelf,
now gone, served as a dam, and they attributed
the whole situation to a warming climate.
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